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EU Climate Advisory Board's 2040 Emissions Reduction Recommendation

2040 Climate Target Rationale

A 90-95% domestic emissions reduction by 2040 remains scientifically robust and strategically vital for EU interests. This target strengthens energy security by reducing fossil fuel imports and accelerates clean technology innovation. Policy certainty beyond 2030 is crucial for sustained investment and competitiveness.

Key Recommendations

  • Achieve 90-95% domestic reduction by 2040
  • Avoid reliance on international carbon credits
  • Accelerate clean technology deployment
  • Strengthen political commitment across sectors
  • Ensure policy certainty beyond 2030 targets

Strategic Benefits

Meeting the 2040 target enhances Europe's industrial leadership and reduces fossil fuel dependency. It aligns climate action with economic competitiveness and energy security objectives. Delaying implementation risks increasing long-term costs and undermining climate goals.
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Research Journey

1

Initial Discovery

Staying the course on climate action essential to EU security and competitiveness

European Scientific Advisory Board on Climate Change 6/2/2025

Advisory Board recommends 90-95% domestic emissions reduction by 2040 for EU security and competitiveness.

2

Deep Dive

EU Climate Law: new way to reach 2040 targets

European Commission 7/2/2025

Commission proposes 90% net greenhouse gas reduction target for 2040 under amended EU Climate Law.

The State of Europe’s Climate Investment, 2025 edition

i4ce 6/3/2025

Analysis of EU climate investment gap showing €344 billion annual shortfall to meet 2030 targets.